This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 39 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 23 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 15 March 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:24PM EDT until March 16 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
An estimated 1,293,347 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 6, 2026 · score 46 · 8.3 km
- May 12, 2026 · score 52 · 9.2 km
- July 17, 2026 · score 52 · 9.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 76 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 76% |
| Coordinates | 28.5102, -81.0716 |
| Nearest City | Alafaya (15 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.3M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T18:24:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a2c3fba031f56249530faaa3f010cb35 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Seminole, FL; Volusia, FL; Flagler, FL; Putnam, FL; St. Johns, FL; Lake, FL; Orange, FL; Seminole, FL; Volusia, FL and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:24PM EDT until March 16 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T15:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a2c3fba031f56249530faaa3f010cb35b93fcc62.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1212215e82bf9faad71ff536c3e5a913ba489b5b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa4153f4b811019dc8d54549cceef22679ac32d5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f584f6200f6b8c2294fcba293d92fe9609e06950.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af30c999576faea7e11dabc117c2a2eec662f2b1.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Alafaya (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.